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Wednesday, 16 May 2018

Insolvencies sneak marginally higher (mainly WA)

Bankruptcies moderate

A 45-second run through the latest AFSA figures on personal insolvencies and bankruptcies, for which there has been a slight break in the data series.

Firstly, on an annual basis bankruptcies continue to moderate (this is very much a lagging indicator). 

The only state in a meaningful uptrend here is Western Australia.

Insolvencies up in WA

Looking now at total personal insolvency activity, this has moved very marginally higher year-on-year.

The main state where total insolvency activity has been rising is Western Australia, while there was also a small increase in New South Wales. 

It's worth remember that Western Australia has been through a mining and demographic boom through the past decade-and-a-half, so when you look at insolvency activity per 1000 of population, insolvencies are not yet tracking at particularly high levels, in spite of the clear uptrend. 

Overall, a little bit of stress at the margin in evidence, but no more than that.