Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Unit approvals trend lower

Data centres surge

The ABS released the May building approvals figures, which showed solid figures for detached houses, mainly driven by double-digit growth across Greater Perth, with flat figures for elsewhere. 


Attached dwelling approvals remained tepid in Sydney and Melbourne, with south-east Queensland remaining the one area of relative strength in the country.


Overall, house approvals are trending higher - thanks to Perth - and unit approvals are now trending lower, with higher mortgage rates and surging building costs acting as headwinds. 


Over the year, there were around 201,000 dwellings approved. 


Over the past two years, about 16,000 dwellings have been approved per month, approximately 20 per cent lower than would be required to meet the government's target.

I doubt the government will mention the Housing Accord target much from here on out, and it was probably not much of a serious target anyway.


Going forward, approvals appear likely to fall away, driven by Sydney and Melbourne, in the aftermath of the Budget tax changes.

It's worth noting that the focus of construction work will likely pivot from housing to data centres.

The value of approvals for data centres has surged, as we've previously seen in the CapEx figures.

Reported the ABS this morning:

"Approved non-residential building rose 41.0 per cent (to $10.83 billion), following a 22.9 per cent April rise. This was a record high for non-residential building and was driven by a rise in large data centre approvals located in New South Wales and Victoria.
The value of total residential building value dropped 5.7 per cent (to $10.24 billion)."
James Foster ran through the building approvals figures in more detail here.

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Cotality also released its latest monthly home values index.

Detached house prices over the year to date are down significantly in two cities, named Sydney (-4.2 per cent) and Melbourne (4.4 per cent), with small declines for unit prices also recorded. 


It's a quiet time of year for the rental market, but in June we saw the first potential signs of an increase in rental price growth, with rents rising 0.5 per cent over the month, to be 5.9 per cent higher over the year.


Source: Cotality
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