Pete Wargent blogspot


'Must-read, must-follow, one of the best analysts in Australia' - Stephen Koukoulas, ex-Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

'One of Australia's brightest financial minds, must-follow for accurate & in-depth analysis' - David Scutt, Markets & Economics Editor, Sydney Morning Herald.

'I've been investing 40 years & still learn new concepts from Pete; one of the best commentators...and not just a theorist!' - Michael Yardney, Amazon #1 bestseller.

Wednesday, 14 February 2018

Land supply fails to keep pace

Land prices soar

The Housing Industry Association (HIA) reported that vacant land prices soared by +6.5 per cent to an all-time high median price of $267,368 in the September 2017 quarter. 

That's a huge quarterly increase, and came as the sheer pace of demand outstripped supply, with quarterly sales volumes having declined by more than a quarter since 2015.

Over the past five years median land prices nationally have increased by 40 per cent. 

This has mainly been a capital city phenomenon, with the average increase being significantly greater across the capitals. 

Much of the activity took place on Melbourne's city fringe, with more than a fifth of transactions over the year to September taking place in the Victorian capital. 

Melbourne recorded all-time high median prices for vacant lots in the September quarter...

...and so did Sydney. 

Elsewhere, in the ABS figures I noted the sheer level of demand for land in Melbourne and Geelong has seen record levels of finance commitments for residential blocks. 

Sydney has seen the level of transactions fall, yet prices have continued to rise, while block sizes have shrunk. 

Thus on a price per square metre basis, land prices have risen strongly in all of the mainland capitals over the past decade.