Pete Wargent blogspot

PERSONAL/BUSINESS COACH | PROPERTY BUYER | ANALYST

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Friday, 16 January 2026

Long-term arrivals at new highs

Arrivals power up

The number of permanent and long-term arrivals over the 12 months to November rose to 1.15 million, a new record high.

On a net basis, permanent and long-term movements increased to +476,960, having 'bottomed' out in January 2025.


There's a lot of debate about what this means for official net overseas migration figures. 

Even if the official numbers prove to be significantly lower than this, there's little doubt that population pressures are intense at the moment. 

Short-term arrivals also increased to 831,970 for the month, an increase of 19½ per cent from a year earlier. 

It was also reported this week that temporary visa holders are often remaining in Australia even after their visas expire. 

Rental markets tend to respond to actual demand rather than to visa categories, and as such rental prices have been reaccelerating since the middle of 2025, mirroring the reported figures for net arrivals. 

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