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PERSONAL/BUSINESS COACH | PROPERTY BUYER | ANALYST

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Thursday, 8 January 2026

November inflation flat...lower than expected

Prices discounted

The ABS released the latest monthly inflation figures, which again showed very little headline inflation (actually 0.0 per cent) in the month of November. 

Headline inflation for the 12 months to November was thus plenty lower than market expectations, dropping from 3.8 per cent to 3.4 per cent.


Source: ABS

Retail discounting and Black Friday sales may have helped somewhat to dampen prices in the month (although the same would hold true for the November 2024 figures).

The trimmed mean inflation figure declined to 3.2 per cent for the 12 months to November 2025, down from 3.3 per cent in October. 

Source: ABS

A significant driver of the inflation related to the housing component (5.2 per cent), with rents and new dwelling costs both contributing. 

The wrap

Overall, it seems that inflation risks may be a bit lower than thought, though the next interest rate policy decision will ultimately be decided by the quarterly inflation figures due for release on January 28. 

Markets are discounting about a 1 in 3 chance of rate hike at the very next central bank monetary policy announcement on February 3. 

I was a bit late getting to the release, but you can read Westpac's review here: Momentum not as strong as first thought.

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