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Wednesday, 14 January 2026

A small win for US inflation (Core CPI lowest since 2021)

US inflation eases

The BLS released the latest US inflation figures which came in at 2.7 per cent over the year for headline, and 2.6 per cent for all items less food and energy.

The figures are not complete due to the October figures not having been reported, so the figures may be treated with some caution. 


Source: BLS

The headline figure is still above the 2 per cent target, and housing-related inflation still showed signs of inflationary pressures in rising 3.2 per cent over the year. 

Still, the figures for core inflation were slightly better than expected, hinting that most of the tariff-related price rises may have passed through. 

Core inflation is now at the lowest level since 2021.

US Treasury yields were fairly flat, after initially seeing yields fall. 

Silver prices have resumed their extraordinary run this week, rising by a further 3 per cent tonight to a new high of $87.49 per ounce, with gold prices also at record highs. 

The recent surge in part may represent a threat of the erosion of Federal Reserve independence. 

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