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Monday, 16 May 2022

Inflation expectations drop 0.3pc points in April

Inflation peaking

The TD-MI monthly inflation gauge turned slightly negative on the headline measure last month, at -0.1 per cent in April. 

Now Roy Morgan sees inflation expectations ticking back down from 5.8 per cent to 5.5 per cent, for the same month.

Source: Roy Morgan

The main driver was the fuel excise cut, and brings inflation expectations back into line with where they were from 2009 to 2014 (when the actual underlying inflation rate was in the target band).