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Tuesday, 11 March 2025

Mortgage arrears eased a little in Q4

Mortgage arrears hold the line

Prime mortgage arrears (RMBS) declined slightly in Q4 last year from 0.89 per cent to 0.87 per cent, according to S&P Global Ratings. 

This allays fears that the interest rate hiking cycle would lead to a spate of arrears, although many loans did go into hardship arrangements over the past couple of years. 

Source: S&P Global Ratings

Despite higher mortgage rates, low unemployment, rising rents, and low vacancy rates meant that investors showed fewer signs of mortgage stress than owner-occupiers. 


The improvement has been driven by the tremendous decline in arrears in booming Western Australia.

Queensland has also recovered from the preceding severe weather events - unfortunately there will be some more issues in northern New South Wales and Queensland for some unlucky homeowners following this week's Cyclone/storm.

The highest arrears were seen in Victoria, albeit only at 1.08 per cent, with some suburbs deep into Melbourne's mortgage belt reporting higher arrears rates. 

Overall, though, S&P expects arrears to stabilise at historically low levels thanks to gradual rate cuts.

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