Unit approvals pick up
Building approvals picked up to a seasonally adjusted 16,579 in January, driven by a bump in high-rise and higher-density approvals in Greater Sydney and Greater Melbourne.
House approvals were fairly flat for the month at a seasonally adjusted 9,000, but were 8 per cent higher than a year earlier, mainly thanks to Perth, Adelaide, Melbourne, and Brisbane.
This was a better result, for sure, but before cracking the champagne it's worth noting that only 107,000 dwellings have been approved across the financial year to date, about 23 per cent below the 140,000 or so needed to meet the stated targets of the Housing Accord.
One of the limitations of the ABS 'trend' series is that it can miss turning points, and although the trend for building approvals moved lower across recent months, it seems highly likely to me that the 2025 calendar year will be stronger for approvals than 2024 was.
Annual dwelling approvals have picked up from a cycle nadir of 164,000 to 175,000 over the past seven months of data, underscoring the point.
Overall, this was a better result, suggesting that developers anticipate a more favourable environment ahead for getting new projects sold at the right price, to be built and then delivered to the market.
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