That's gold
We all saw the photos of the queues to buy gold at Martin Place back in October...
Source: Tom Richardson, X
How everyone chuckled.
The funny thing is, despite all the cynicism, they're all in profit now as the price of gold has gone ballistic anew.
Having largely languished for the past decade-and-a-half, the gold price has soared again in anticipation of upcoming interest rate cuts.
Bullion is up +67 per cent so far in 2025.
Chart from Kitco:
The price of silver, meanwhile, has gone almost vertical, to be up by an astonishing +138 per cent for the year-to-date.
A fear trade?
Risk appetite more broadly has been rising at a record pace since April, with billions pouring into leveraged long ETFs and comparatively very little interest on the short side.
All traditional metrics would say we are well into 'overbought' territory for gold and silver...so what's driving the latest surge?
The standard answers would be a fear of inflation or monetary debasement, a global conflict, or possibly all of the above.
Yet none of that seems to be so much priced into bond markets, stocks, or real estate.
It's interesting because oil prices have fallen a lot of late - unlike the late 1970s energy crisis which was triggered by the Iranian revolution - and global inflation appears to be softening.
So, just a momentum play, perhaps.
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