Pete Wargent blogspot

PERSONAL/BUSINESS COACH | PROPERTY BUYER | ANALYST

'Must-read, must-follow, one of the best analysts in Australia' - Stephen Koukoulas, ex-Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

'One of Australia's brightest financial minds, must-follow for accurate & in-depth analysis' - David Scutt, Markets & Economics Editor, Sydney Morning Herald.

'I've been investing 40 years & still learn new concepts from Pete; one of the best commentators...and not just a theorist!' - Michael Yardney, Amazon #1 bestseller.

Monday 4 December 2023

Lending for housing picks up solidly

Housing firms

Fairly well a Goldilocks set of numbers for property market participants today.

New housing finance comfortably surpassed expectations, rising +5.4 per cent in October. 

Thanks to Alex Joiner from IFM, who I swear must be using AI to pull together this information so quickly:


Lending for the purchase and construction of new housing was well down on a year ago, but may just be turning a corner (good luck finding a builder right now, mind you). 


James Foster plotted the speed of the rebound here - although the refinancing boom has ended, activity is generally trending higher quite quickly.

The Housing Industry Association warned again on this point, and the ensuing housing shortage:


Source: HIA

More good news was also reported on the inflation from, with the trimmed mean inflation gauge from the Melbourne Institute dropping to 3.8 per cent over the year, portending further declines in the 'official' ABS figures ahead. 


Source: IFM Investors

Looking ahead, consumers should also get some further declines in unleaded petrol prices over the coming weeks. 


Finally, job ads fell by a steeper -4.6 per cent in November, following a revised -3.4 per cent fall in October. 

The index has fallen by a sharp -8.4 per cent over the past 3 months, will further declines looking very likely. 


ANZ also apparently thinks the Reserve Bank of Australia has done enough:


Source: ANZ

Higher interest rates are working to bring down inflation and are cooling the hot jobs market noticeably now. 

---

P.S. Whenever you’re ready…here are 4 ways I can help you manage your own money and go next level wealth:

  1. Boom or Bust in 2023 – 20 minute online workshop for investors

Register for my next free online training - Boom or Bust? How to change your investment plan for 2023 - book in here

You also download a free copy of my e-book The Only 6 Ways to Become Wealthy here.

  1. Subscribe to our Top 10 Podcasts for Investors

Listen in to our podcasts

The Australian Property Podcast is one of Australia's biggest business podcasts.

And our enormously popular Low Rates High Returns Show is also available on Spotify.

  1. Subscribe for my free daily blog

Subscribe for my free daily blog with over 3.4 million hits here

You can also catch up with me daily on Twitter here, where I'm active daily and have over 13,300 followers. 

  1. Work with me privately

For a limited time you can book in a free diagnosis call with me here.