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Wednesday, 30 August 2023

US job openings crash

JOLTS plunge

It's taken a long time, but it looks like the US labour market may finally be cracking. 

There was a huge decline in job openings to 8.8 million - down 1.5 million over the past 3 months, for the second biggest ever 3-month decline - which suggests that the unemployment rate will begin to rise sharply from here. 

This was one of the biggest misses on record, and follows a series of downward revisions of late. 

US 2-year Treasuries saw yields drop by 10 basis points to 4.90 per cent, as markets consider that the rate hiking cycle is increasingly likely to be finished.


Source: Bloomberg

Consumer sentiment is also very low, falling more than expected. 

ZeroHedge ran through the numbers here.

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Westpac's latest Housing Pulse reported that consumers are still very cautious about buying property.

Nevertheless, housing price forecasts are now overall bullish for the next 3 years.


Source: Westpac Housing Pulse