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Wednesday 27 April 2022

Inflation lifts at last

And...inflation

Headline inflation jumped 2.1 per cent in the March quarter, taking the annual increase to 5.1 per cent.

Dwelling construction costs were up, and fuel prices were up a lot (+11 per cent). 

Construction costs saw the biggest jump since the introduction of the GST, due to a combination of a shortage of materials, ongoing elevated demand, and a reduction in government construction grants. 

The underlying inflation measures increased by 1 per cent (weighted median) and 1.4 per cent (trimmed mean) respectively, taking the analytical measures to above the target band for the first time in many a year. 


It's easy to forget that headline consumer prices initially fell during the Q2 2020 shutdown, but that seems like quite a while ago now. 

In any event, partly as a result of recent supply chain disruptions and warfare in Ukraine, as well as the successful fiscal stimulus, we now have some price inflation!


Fuel prices should hopefully revert a little lower next quarter, but there is an increasing clamour for the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates either in June, or even by a token 15 basis points as soon as next week. 

I'm blogging a bit on the hoof here at Sydney Airport - and there are more detailed thoughts to be considered here in terms of the potential impacts of all this - but in the meantime you can get the detailed rundown as always from James Foster here