Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), & CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he's one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written, yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data & charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' & 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm, one of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, 'MacroBusiness'.

Wednesday, 10 January 2018

NSW jobs are absolutely booming

Sydney booms

Wow, even more stunning jobs vacancies figures for New South Wales, topping 81,500 for the latest quarter to November 2017! 

To put that in perspective, before this cycle no state or territory had ever gotten near to even 60,000, although there was a bit of a funding-related gap in the ABS survey through 2008-9.

Sydney may well be set for a record low unemployment rate over the next ~18 months on this evidence, so it's small wonder it remains the premier city of choice for immigrants.

Melbourne is shaping up extremely well too, while Brisbane and Perth are recovering nicely, if steadily. 


Jobs vacancies have thus exploded 17 per cent higher year-n-year to 210,800, easily the highest level on record - the Aussie economy is back in business!


And the number of unemployed persons per vacancy has declined to the lowest level in years, so finding a job is typically getting easier. 


Why is this important? Because it suggests that Australia is returning to full employment, although experiences in other parts of the world suggest it will take a fair old while yet to see wages pressure gathering any meaningful pace. 


Granted there are lots of admin jobs around, but manufacturing vacancies are at a 7-year high, construction vacancies are up, up, up, there are tens of thousand of healthcare jobs, and mining vacancies look to be very bullish indeed for 2018.


A terrific set of numbers across the board, and especially for Sydney and New South Wales, where the number of unemployed persons per vacancy has hit a record low. 

Wages growth is set to follow. Ripper!