Pete Wargent blogspot

PERSONAL/BUSINESS COACH | PROPERTY BUYER | ANALYST

'Must-read, must-follow, one of the best analysts in Australia' - Stephen Koukoulas, ex-Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

'One of Australia's brightest financial minds, must-follow for accurate & in-depth analysis' - David Scutt, Markets & Economics Editor, Sydney Morning Herald.

'I've been investing 40 years & still learn new concepts from Pete; one of the best commentators...and not just a theorist!' - Michael Yardney, Amazon #1 bestseller.

Thursday 30 January 2020

Oil hits the skids

Out of favour

Energy has been one of the most hated sectors over the past three years, and indeed for 5 of the past 6 years.


Source: Novel Investor

Over the past dozen years, energy has been a serious laggard, and this trend has been gathering further pace on the back of the ESG tsunami and the growing imperative for institutional investor virtue-signalling.


The other US sector that's had a torrid dozen years has been financials.

With the coronavirus spreading, oil looks like to get walloped even further as travel is banned.


Source: Bloomberg

Of course, this is a 'value' style of investing which tends to work well over a 10-20 year timeframe, rather than seeking out short-term momentum.

I'm all for buying Aussie companies - or the Aussie indexes - when they're cheaper, but at today's prices...well, it's not for me. 

In the more immediate term, let's hope this wretched virus gets under control!

---

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is looking for a market open at around $650 (!) after a Q4 earnings beat, sending the market cap hurtling towards US$120 billion.

I'm not even going to spend any time on the multiples...stock price, bro!