Pete Wargent blogspot


'Must-read, must-follow, one of the best analysts in Australia' - Stephen Koukoulas, ex-Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

'One of Australia's brightest financial minds, must-follow for accurate & in-depth analysis' - David Scutt, Markets & Economics Editor, Sydney Morning Herald.

'I've been investing 40 years & still learn new concepts from Pete; one of the best commentators...and not just a theorist!' - Michael Yardney, Amazon #1 bestseller.

Friday, 29 June 2018

26-year low for money growth

Tighter lending

Housing credit tightened as expected in May 2018, especially to investors.

Indeed the growth in lending to investors is slowing quickly, essentially now down to nil. 

With fewer interest-only loans out there in the market now outstanding investor credit accounted for 33.5 per cent of housing credit, the lowest share in 5 years. 

Housing credit growth was 5.8 per cent over the year to May 2018, well down from 6.6 per cent a year earlier.

Anecdotally a greater volume of mortgage applications is being rejected.

The Housing Industry Association (HIA) reported today that new home sales declined by a further 4.4 per cent in May, to be 12.8 per cent below the most recent cyclical peak.

Money growth slows

There was negative growth in both business and personal credit in the month of May. 

Broad money growth is now at the lowest level since October 1992.

Number one in that month was Eye of the Tiger by Survivor!