Pete Wargent blogspot

CEO AllenWargent Property Buyers, & WargentAdvisory (institutional), 5 x finance author.

'Huge fan of your work, very impressive!' - Scott Pape, The Barefoot Investor, Australia's #1 bestseller.

'Must-read, must-follow, one of the finest analysts in Oz' - Stephen Koukoulas, ex-Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

'One of Australia's brightest financial minds, must-follow for accurate & in-depth analysis' - David Scutt, Business Insider.

'I've been investing 40 years & still learn new concepts from Pete; one of the finest commentators' - Michael Yardney, Amazon #1 bestseller.

'The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate & most comprehensive analyst I follow in Oz' - Jon Tepper, Variant Perception, 2 x NYT bestseller.

Friday, 13 October 2017

Dwelling construction powers on

Construction holding up

Although lower than a year ago, dwelling commencements were very solid in the June 2017 quarter at just under 53,000 on a seasonally adjusted basis. 

About 219,000 new dwellings were commenced in the financial year.


Completions tracked at a very similar level.


Pipeline

Developers in Sydney are now chewing their way through the backlog.


At the end of June there were still more than 150,000 attached dwellings under construction.


It looks as though by the end of 2017, the apartment construction pipeline will largely be a Sydney phenomenon.


The wrap

The defining feature of this construction boom has been the record number of high-rise apartments.

And these can take years to build.

Most are pre-sold, so there will be no oversupply of unsold apartments, but we can see pockets of oversupply of rental properties, especially in inner city Brisbane. 

Sydney has about 65,000 attached dwellings under construction, which is a record.

Due to faster population growth, the risk of oversupply seems to have abated in Sydney and Melbourne, although Sydney's housing market is clearly slowing.

The pendulum is swinging towards Brisbane and south east Queensland, both in terms of internal migration and property investment.

I'll look at Brisbane's apartment supply in a separate post.