Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), & CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he's one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written, yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data & charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' & 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm, one of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, 'MacroBusiness'.

Thursday, 27 July 2017

Sydney labour market strengthens

Sydney leads

Australia's total annual employment growth has lifted to +2 per cent, taking the total number of employed persons up to 12.2 million, representing a material improvement in 2017.

After a remarkable 3-year run, Sydney hiring is off and running again, with total employment growth surging back towards +2.5 per cent, and employment +64,500 higher year-on-year. 

Despite the relatively high level of unemployment on the Central Coast, across Greater Sydney the unemployment rate has now fallen to just 4.36 per cent. 

The annual average unemployment rate for the harbour city is now at the lowest level since the financial crisis, helping to explain why mortgage arrears have been falling from already low levels to even lower levels. 

Perhaps small wonder that the Sydney housing market has held up so well looking at these numbers.

Brisbane has seen an big uplift in inbound internal migration, but appears to be struggling to absorb the intake with gainful employment as apartment construction slows.

Accordingly, the Brisbane unemployment rate has lifted somewhat.

"Gizza job!"

The median duration of job search across Australia has improved, if marginally, from 20 weeks a year ago to 19 weeks in June 2017. 

While Hobart has been improving on this measure, it now takes 22 weeks on average to find a job in Adelaide, which is a concern. 

Finally, a look at Townsville employment as a bellwether for the resources-influenced regions shows that total employment has rebounded from the lows of 2016. 

The wrap

Overall, the labour market seems to have turned a corner in 2017, albeit with the proverbial turning circle of the QE2.

And the results do remain quite unbalanced around the states. 

Sydney looks set to most enjoy the benefit of low interest rates for another couple of years, which may in turn result in the return of stronger wages growth.