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Friday, 27 February 2026

Housing credit impulses eases ahead of rate hike

Credit growth eases

Credit growth slowed from December's hot 0.87 per cent (the fastest since 2022) to 0.49 per cent in January, in part due to slower business credit growth. 


Credit growth to property investors remained sprightly at a seasonally adjusted 0.82 per cent in January, but this was ahead of the interest rate hike in February. 


However, monthly housing credit growth overall was a little cooler, pulling back from 0.68 per cent to 0.59 per cent. 


Moreover, with higher interest rates ahead, the growth in housing credit is likely to cool as the year goes on.

Indeed, the derived housing credit impulse may already have rolled over in January. 


Overall, there's still a solid pace of lending to first homebuyers and investors, but it looks likely that price growth will be slower in 2026 than it was last year as sales listings increase. 

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