Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

4 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete Wargent is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"Pete's daily analysis is unputdownable" - Dr. Chris Caton, Chief Economist, BT Financial.

Sunday, 25 June 2017

Winter cooling

Sydney cools

The Sydney auction market is cooling as finance is harder to come by, especially for investors and those wanting to use interest-only loans. 

The preliminary clearance rate reported by Domain was a shade under 70 per cent - now tracking well below the frenzied peak - while CoreLogic put the preliminary figure a but higher at 73 per cent.

The median auction price for houses was $1,515,500, some $142,500 or 10.4 per cent higher than on the same weekend last year.

Similarly the median auction price for units was up by $76,000 or 8.6 per cent from the same weekend last year to $955,000. 

Overall the median price of $1,335,000 was the third highest on record. 


Return of the first homebuyer

A factor skewing the median price higher was that some first homebuyers are reportedly sitting on the sidelines until next weekend when the new incentives will have kicked in post-July 1.

From next week, therefore, there may be some renewed upwards pressure on entry level stock priced up to around $800,000. 

Overall, though, the credit squeeze has changed the dynamic of the market considerably, and price pressure is easing. 

In some inner suburbs such as Erskineville, Glebe, Enmore, Newtown, Haberfield, Darlinghurst, Surry Hills, Redfern, and Pyrmont I've already noted a looming shortage of rentals, with vacancy rates sinking to as close to zero as you'll ever see.

Sydney is having an absolute shocker at the moment with its traffic congestion, partly due to the disruption caused by the light rail construction.

Therefore it's no surprise that areas experiencing a rental shortage are those with great city access.

It's a different story for some of the suburbs where commuters need to drive into the city for work.

Over the next year as investors are increasingly squeezed out of the market there will likely be an increasing number of news stories reporting a Sydney rental crisis, at least for certain locations and sought-after property types. 

Contrast these tight rental markets with the overbuilding and homogeneous glut of rentals on Sydney's city fringe, 60 kilometres to the south west.