Pete Wargent blogspot

PERSONAL/BUSINESS COACH | PROPERTY BUYER | ANALYST

'Must-read, must-follow, one of the best analysts in Australia' - Stephen Koukoulas, ex-Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

'One of Australia's brightest financial minds, must-follow for accurate & in-depth analysis' - David Scutt, Markets & Economics Editor, Sydney Morning Herald.

'I've been investing 40 years & still learn new concepts from Pete; one of the best commentators...and not just a theorist!' - Michael Yardney, Amazon #1 bestseller.

Thursday 22 November 2018

Transactions dry up

Like the deserts miss the rain...

In my day-to-day experience transaction after transaction in the housing market is being delayed, knocked back, or outright rejected on some of the most trivial matters I've come across. 

The pendulum has swung back so far that stock turnover has now sunk to the lowest level in nearly 30 years, since the time of the early 1990s recession. 

Via the Scutt at Business Insider:


And this is legit analysis by market experts (not the bogus 'record lows' reported every quarter from the preliminary ABS data). 

State budgets are being shredded as stamp duty receipts have evaporated. 

Curiously the Reserve Bank has spent the last few years assuring everyone how high lending standards are and how low financial stability risks are, a view well supported by the remarkably low level of mortgage arrears, and bank loss rates of close to zero. 

Paradoxically, a problem is now being created, because banks are faffing around with forensic analysis of plain vanilla home loan applications. 

Pro tip for aspiring homeowners: go easy on your household pet food expenditure, folks!

Stranger than fiction...