Pete Wargent blogspot

PERSONAL/BUSINESS COACH | PROPERTY BUYER | ANALYST

'Must-read, must-follow, one of the best analysts in Australia' - Stephen Koukoulas, ex-Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

'One of Australia's brightest financial minds, must-follow for accurate & in-depth analysis' - David Scutt, Markets & Economics Editor, Sydney Morning Herald.

'I've been investing 40 years & still learn new concepts from Pete; one of the best commentators...and not just a theorist!' - Michael Yardney, Amazon #1 bestseller.

Wednesday, 19 March 2025

Is the jobs market finally beginning to crack?

Job vacancies dive

Jobs & Skills Australia released the latest government statistics on skilled job vacancies, which fell -5.9 per cent in February.

The index is now down -15 per cent or -36,900 positions over the past year to 209,900 vacancies, and sits at the lowest level in 4 years. 

CommSec produced the most relevant chart below:


Recruitment activity fell across all 8 states and territories measured, with Victoria (-21 per cent) and Tasmania (-28 per cent) particularly hard hit over the past year.

Roy Morgan Research also reported a spike in their unemployment rate measure to 11½ per cent, as employment fell sharply in February.

This was also the worst result for the unemployment rate for...four years.

It will be interesting to see whether any equivalent softness is reflected in the official ABS labour force figures tomorrow.

Over the past year employment has grown by an amazingly strong +3 per cent, mainly driven by non-market roles.

With record high participation rates reported of late - largely driven by record levels of female participation in the workforce - there's every chance that the unemployment rate could still hold as low as 4 per cent in February. 

---

In other news, Charter Keck Cramer released its latest state of the market report.

It looks as though there is a serious shortage of housing building up in Sydney, with unit commencements hitting 14-year lows in 2024.


Source: Charter Keck Kramer

CKC sees the housing market supply as having broken down, and it's unlikely to improve a great deal without intervention at all levels of government and policymaking, they argue. 

You can download the full report here.

---

P.S. Whenever you’re ready…here are 4 ways I can help you:

    1. Download our property buying guide

Download our free property buying guide here

You can also check out a few of our recent property purchases here

Get in contact with us today if strategic property investment is your thing. 

    2. Subscribe to our Top 10 Podcasts for Investors

Listen in to our podcasts

The Australian Property Podcast is rapidly becoming one of Australia's biggest business podcasts, now with well over 50,000 audio downloads per month, and growing fast.

And our popular Low Rates High Returns Show also remains available on Spotify.

    3. Subscribe for my free daily blog

Subscribe for my free daily blog with some 3¾ million hits here

You can also catch up with me daily on Twitter here, where I'm active daily and have over 14,900 followers. 

By the way, I'm an 8-times published author on finance and investing, so you can check out some of my books here.

My new book, co-authored with Cate Bakos is available to buy here or on Amazon here - follow our book release on Facebook here and at our Buy Right podcast series here

4. Work with me privately

For a limited time you can book in a free diagnosis call with me here, so book in a call today.