Tuesday, 9 January 2024

2023 a bit of a horror year for building approvals

Approvals set to recover

Building approvals of 14,500 were slightly improved in November.

House approvals have really struggled post-Homebuilder stimulus.

The shining lights here are likely to be Melbourne, which has some huge master-planned projects on the way, and Perth, which is suffering from a chronic shortage of homes on the market in the face of booming population growth.


Attached dwelling approvals are off the mat, with the rebound largely driven by regional projects in New South and Victoria, more so than anything in the capital cities. 

Overall, house approvals have remained at around decade lows, of around 8,500 per month.


Source: HIA

The Housing Industry Association commented that a slowdown is on the way for construction:


Source: HIA

Piecing it together, it looks as though the nadir for building approvals in this cycle was seen around March 2023. 


Despite the modest recovery since then, the annual number of dwellings approved at 166,000 was the lowest in well over a a decade (or 125 months).

Whether or not these projects are delivered on a timely basis is another question entirely, and this isn't only an Australia problem for the struggling construction sector. 

One of the UK's largest homebuilders went bust yesterday, for example, with hundreds of jobs to go.

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