Thursday, 27 October 2022

Recruitment difficulty falls 9ppts in capitals

Labour market loosens

More signs that supply and demand in the labour force are coming back into balance. 

The difficulty rate for recruiting staff fell 9 percentage points in the capital cities in a month in September. 


Source: Aus Gov, Labour Market Insights

The staffing outlook has also cooled substantially.


Source: Aus Gov, Labour Market Insights

Recruitment activity was fairly flat over the month, reflective of there having been no net employment growth since June. 

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Australia's terms of trade began to fall in Q3, as export prices decline.


History suggests strong odds of bulk commodity prices getting creamed from here, leading to a nasty income shock.


It's not hard to see from the index figures that a very significant bulk of Australia's inflation has been imported, with the import price index up 3 per cent in Q3, and a punishing 19.3 per cent over the past year. 

This painful pace of increase should face from here as global recession risks rise and supply chains are freed up.