Saturday, 11 January 2020

US payrolls solid (Nelson), but...

Payrolls roll on

Slightly softer than expected US nonfarm payrolls for December, with an increase of +145,000 marking a record 111 consecutive gains (unbelievably, the previous record was 48!). 

There were modest downward revisions to the preceding two months totalling -14,000.

This brought the 3-month average down a notch to a still-solid +184,000.


The unemployment rate was steady at 3.5 per cent, while the underemployment rate (U6) fell to a record low of 6.7 per cent, from 6.9 per cent a year earlier.


The annual growth in average hourly earnings dipped unexpectedly to 2.9 per cent, however, to be below 3 per cent for the first time since July 2018. 


Not bad, despite the blip in nominal wages growth.

The Dow Jones hit 29,000 for the first time in early trade.