Pete Wargent Daily Blog
Real-time Aussie analysis: ECONOMY | REAL ESTATE | MARKETS
Thursday, 10 January 2019
Spurious precision
Fake precision
Plenty of this around.
And
here's why it can be a problem
(click the image to read).
A lot of things that aren't supposed to happen somehow do.
Remember when Hillary Clinton was
99 per cent sure to beat Trump
, according to Bayesian modelling?
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