Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), & CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he's one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written, yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data & charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' & 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm, one of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, 'MacroBusiness'.

Thursday, 5 February 2015

New home sales rise by 14.4 percent

New home sales up 14.4 percent

New home sales moved 4.9 percent higher over the December quarter to be 14.4 percent higher than a year ago.

The result was driven by an uplift in detached housing sales in Queensland (+2.6 percent) and Western Australia (+2.8 percent) offset by a decline in South Australia (-5.3 percent).

Unit and apartment sales were also driven by Queensland (+11.6 percent) and Western Australia (+13.4 percent) offset by a decline in South Australia (-7.5 percent) and New South Wales (-10.3 percent). 

Sydney prices booming

Meanwhile Residex released its latest housing market figures which showed that Sydney is leading the way in terms of house price growth, prices rising by nearly 5 percent in the December quarter to be 17 percent higher over the year.

In terms of units, Sydney led the way in 2014 there too, recording 3.6 percent growth over the quarter to be 13 percent higher over the year.

It is worth noting that in aggregate rents in Sydney have recorded growth for houses (+8.4 percent) and units (+3.1 percent) suggesting that there is little evidence of oversupply on a city-wide basis.

Mixed results

Residex noted that "the growth in the Sydney market in dollar terms is in boom conditions", observing that Sydney was the "only city to be doing really well".

Certainly price growth has been relatively soft or negative in Darwin, Hobart, Canberra, Adelaide, and most regional markets

However, Brisbane looks to be shaping up well (at least, for the right property type) with house prices rising by 2.7 percent over the last quarter to be 6 percent higher year-on-year.

Interestingly Residex noted that it will not release its January figures for a couple of weeks "in about two weeks when the January growth numbers are firm and we are confident they reflect the actual outcome for the month."

Generally in financial markets this type of rhetoric often means that the data has thrown out an abnormal result, which the remainder of the piece suggests might be extraordinary price growth in Sydney.

I guess we'll find out in a fortnight's time.