Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - & author of Things That Make You Go of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, MacroBusiness.

Friday, 4 July 2014

US unemployment tumbles to 6.1% (employment +288,000 m/m)

So the ADP was a pretty good indicator after all, and the US jobs report was yet again another corker, seeing another 288,000 jobs added:

"Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 288,000 in June, and the unemployment rate 
declined to 6.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. 

Job gains were widespread, led by employment growth in professional and business services, retail trade, food services and drinking places, and health care."

That's now 5 months in a row of 200k+ jobs added and an incredible 44 consecutive months of jobs growth which is closing in on a record.

Heartening to note jobs being added across a wide range of sectors.

The unemployment rate tumbled all the way to 6.1%, from 6.3% previous (and double digit levels at the peak):

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Great to see, and further evidence that low interest rates and quantitative easing work.

The corresponding danger is that asset prices are also thrown higher.

In the UK, for example, London house prices (and indeed, most house prices) are accelerating.

Meanwhile in the US, the Dow Jones (DJIA) has been flung way over 17,000 overnight, the S&P 500 is a bee's appendage away from 2,000 and the NASDAQ is now trading at levels not seen since the exuberant days of the tech stock bubble nearly a decade and a half ago.

Of course, there is a risk that market valuations begin to unravel when QE is taken away and interest rate hikes begin to be price in...which is precisely why the economy will be weaned off the bond-buying program over a period of time. 

Unemployment down to 6.1%. Wonderful news.