Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

4 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the better property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete Wargent is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"Pete's daily analysis is unputdownable" - Dr. Chris Caton, Chief Economist, BT Financial.

Thursday, 29 May 2014

New home sales recovery is strong

New home sales increased for a 4th month on the bounce, by 2.9% in April and 6% over the quarter.

Commentators have called the peak on this recovery at least half a dozen times but the trend still looks good on a national basis.

Western Australia (+6.4%) and New South Wales (+5.2%) led the way. Victoria was up a bit (+0.5) but new home sales fell in Queensland (-2.1%) and South Australia (-6.0%).

The recovery since September 2012 has been both strong and broad based and with residential construction as reported yesterday increasing by 8.4% over the past year .

This bodes well for some level of rebalancing of the economy.

This is important, because as the capital expenditure release will likely confirm in the next ten minutes, mining construction could decline by as much as a quarter by FY 2014-2015 so residential and commercial building definitely needs to pick up some of this slack.

A strong result.


Source: HIA