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Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property market & hedge fund advisory.
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Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property advisory, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place) - clients include hedge funds, resi funds, & private investors.
4 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.
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Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Soggy with damp patches
First, the good news! Total employment increased to 12,093,400 in seasonally strong December, the highest number of employed persons in Australia's history.
After a blistering year for jobs growth in 2015 when more than 300,000 jobs were added, the last calendar year was considerably slower, with employment growth sagging to +89,2000 or +0.74 per cent.
Greater Melbourne, in essence, added the new jobs on a net basis last year.
The main change during the year was that annual employment growth in Greater Sydney slowed all the way back to 1 per cent, from a massive 4.2 per cent at the 2015 peak.
And in Greater Brisbane, employment growth stalled.
It's not all bad news, though.
A whole range of metrics confirmed that the economy went into a very soggy patch in the third quarter of the year, reflected in a negative GDP print, but there does appear to have been a bit more momentum picking up towards the end of the calendar year.
Around the major capital cities, only Greater Sydney is in fine nick from an unemployment rate perspective - sporting an unemployment rate of under 5 per cent - followed by Brisbane and then Melbourne.
In Greater Perth, the trend is still upwards.
Around the traps...
The ABS figures don't cover all sub-regions in detail, but it's clear that the resources-influenced regions have endured a tougher stretch since the peak of the resources construction boom in 2012.
That said, it does seem that in many areas employment may now be forming a base.
You may snort with derision - as indeed you are entitled to! - but Louis Christopher of SQM Research believes that some of the hardest hit mining regions such as Karratha in Western Australia may now be passing a housing market nadir.
It's usually well worth taking careful note of his market analysis.