Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property advisory, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place) - clients include hedge funds, resi funds, & private investors.

4 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the better property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete Wargent is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"Pete's daily analysis is unputdownable" - Dr. Chris Caton, Chief Economist, BT Financial.

Invest in Sydney/Brisbane property markets, or for media/public speaking requests, email pete@allenwargent.com

Monday, 23 January 2017

NSW investors blow the doors off

Sydney investors return

November's Lending Finance figures revealed a considerably improved month for commercial loans, with a 14.8 per cent increase in commercial finance. 

Personal finance also increased by 6.4 per cent, while lease finance was up 3.1 per cent.

So it was a much improved month for lending overall.

By far the most striking trend, however, was the return of property investors to Melbourne, and especially Sydney.

Investor loans were 23 per cent higher than in November 2015 in Victoria, with investor lending having been hindered by macroprudential regulatory measures in the preceding year.

In New South Wales the value of loans was fully 40 per cent higher than in the prior corresponding period, confirming suspicions that parts of the Sydney property market were off to the races again at the end of calendar year 2016.


At the other end of the spectrum, the value of investor loans in resources state of Western Australia was down by 13 per cent year-on-year.

Mortgage arrears are also likely to show further increases in the Northern Territory, with dwelling prices in decline and elevated vacancy rates.


Note that the figures for the value of loans written are not adjusted for population growth.

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The all-important inflation figures will be released on Wednesday morning.

Market consensus for core inflation is 0.5 per cent for the quarter and just 1.6 per cent annualised, well under the 2 to 3 per cent target range.

Headline inflation could come in a bit higher, with market consensus of 0.7 per cent (from a range of 0.3 to 1 per cent).

This will be the most important domestic release of the week.

In June the annual rate of inflation was the lowest seen since 1999 at just 1.3 per cent.

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