Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - & author of Things That Make You Go of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, MacroBusiness.

Tuesday, 10 January 2017

New jobs - close to the city


A small point but one that seems to cause more than its fair share of confusion.

The labour force figures by sub region are based upon where people normally reside - not where their jobs are located.

As such it stands to reason that the areas showing the greatest growth are often those where there are more homes being built, such as Parramatta and Blacktown in Sydney (and not the eastern suburbs, or lower north shore). 

In south east Queensland the big numbers are often found in growing conurbations with more land available for release such as Logan-Beaudesert and Ipswich. 

Central tendency

Nobody can say for certain where the jobs of the future will be located.

But to take the example of Brisbane, the government has to make a forecast in order to plan its long term infrastructure projects. 

For Brisbane, the Central Business District and its all but adjacent suburbs such as South Brisbane, Fortitude Valley, Bowen Hills, and Woolloongabba (which the QLD gov seems to have a problem spelling!) are the expected to create the jobs. 

Looked at visually...

Source: Queensland Government

Over the next two decades, the resident population in metropolitan Brisbane is projected to grow by an additional 820,000 residents.

Of the 670,000 additional jobs forecast in south east Queensland by 2031, approximately 443,000 or 66 per cent are expected to be based in metropolitan Brisbane.

Almost two-thirds of these additional jobs at 290,000 will be in Brisbane City, which demonstrates the city’s prominent role as the region’s economic powerhouse.

The CBD and surrounding suburbs will remain a key employment centre for south east Queensland’s residential population, providing approximately 380,000 jobs by 2031.