Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - & author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm...one of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, MacroBusiness.

Sunday, 30 October 2016

Australia's land is now worth more than $5 trillion

Land values surpass $5 trillion

The total value of Australia's land increased by 5.3 per cent or some $258 billion over the last financial year.

Total land values now in Australia sit at their highest ever level at more than $5.1 trillion - that's about three times the size of GDP, which in historic terms is very high.

By the way, you can click on these charts to make them bigger.


As you can see in the graphic above, some 82 per cent of the total land value is accounted for by our homes - residential property - at nearly $4.2 trillion.

The total value of residential land has seen more than a tenfold increase since 1989.

Of course, as the population expands we should expect to see residential land values increase in aggregate as more land is rezoned for residential use, while inflation tends to push current prices up over time too.

However, even population growth and inflation combined cannot account for residential land values more than doubling over the 11 financial years since June 2005.

In fact, the size of the Australian population has expanded by only 18 per cent over the past decade. 

Perhaps not too surprisingly, most of the upwards pressure on land values in recent years has been evident in Sydney and Melbourne, with the two most populous states together now accounting for more than 66 per cent of the total value of residential land. 


Over the past five years alone residential land values have increased by 54 per cent in New South Wales to $1.7 trillion, and by 48 per cent in Victoria to $1.1 trillion. 



Despite the solid increases over time, Australians would be wise to note that even where the population is growing residential land values can still decline.

Indeed, both Western Australia and the Northern Territory saw their total residential land values fall in aggregate over the last financial year by 4 per cent and 2 per cent respectively, even if vacant greenfield lot prices are as high as they have ever been.

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Of course, you'll be able to read more on this as these findings are replicated elsewhere, but by subscribing to my free blog you read them here first. Feel free to share :-)