Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

4 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the better property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete Wargent is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"Pete's daily analysis is unputdownable" - Dr. Chris Caton, Chief Economist, BT Financial.

Wednesday, 7 September 2016

National Accounts day! (100 not out)

Headline GDP looks good

Favourable GDP partials have been reported this week.

Although net exports will be a drag this time around, there was a particularly a big drive in public demand (+2.7 per cent) including a surge in investment, suggesting that today's National Accounts could show that the economy grew anywhere from +3.3 to +3.5 per cent over the year to June.

Watch out for downward revisions to the first quarter.

This will notch up an amazing 100 consecutive quarters without a technical recession for Australia.

The terms of trade also posted a welcome +2.4 per cent increase in the June quarter.

All great news.

On the other hand, the mostly ignored Balance of Payments figures showed the current account deficit widening from $14.9 billion to $15.5 billion in seasonally adjusted terms.

Meanwhile, net foreign debt rose by $22 billion to $1,044 billion from $1,022 billion in March, and as a share of annual GDP net foreign debt rose to a fresh high of 63.8 per cent. 


Of course, borrowing is very cheap right now, so debt servicing costs are at a 15-month low in declining from 8.1 per cent to 7.2 per cent.

I'll take a look through the National Accounts later.