Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), & CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he's one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written, yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data & charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' & 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm, one of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, 'MacroBusiness'.

Thursday, 15 September 2016



Yesterday the US Census Bureau reported that real household incomes had surged by 5.2 per cent between 2014 and 2015.

There is increasing speculation that interest rates may finally be at an inflection point as the US economy and jobs growth continue chugging along.

While interest rates won't be hiked in Australia any time soon with inflation tracking below the target band, it's been an interesting change of narrative.

Meanwhile the Reserve Bank of Australia seems to have adopted a more upbeat tone as it deems the worst of the drop in mining investment has passed.

Record employment withstands Brexit

Wasn't going to bother with another Anglo-themed post, but while on the theme of economies trying to escape from the zero lower bound here are the quickfire UK Labour Market charts for the three months to July 2016.

Total employment was up by +559,000 from a year ago to a record high of 31.77 million (with a three-month change of +174,000). No discernible impact from Brexit here. 

The employment rate remained at the joint highest level since comparable records began in 1971 at 74.5 per cent. Ditto.

The number of unemployed persons fell by 39,000 to 1.63 million, while the unemployment rate of 4.9 per cent was unchanged from the three months to June and well below the 5.5 per cent of a year ago. In the East of England the unemployment rate is now at its lowest ever level.

Annual earnings growth was one weaker point, ticking back to 2.3 per cent.

In a separate release yesterday the annual inflation rate was steady at +0.6 per cent as the UK tries to pull away from the risk of deflation. The lower pound resulting from Brexit will result in higher prices for import goods, and potentially a burst of inflation.

The wrap

It's early days but the UK economy appears to be demonstrating resilience in the face of the June Brexit referendum (the full impacts of which might be expected to be gradual).

Aussie Labour Force figures are due out this morning...