Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - & author of Things That Make You Go of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, MacroBusiness.

Thursday, 22 October 2015

Exceedingly good fakes


Some bad news, I'm afraid.

The Reserve Bank's 2015 Annual Report "noted" that more than 37,000 counterfeit banknotes were detected in circulation on 2014/15, a 63 per cent increase on the preceding financial year!

On a positive note, if you'll pardon the second awful pun, a single production source was identified which accounted for the increase, and a number of arrests have been made in relation thereto.

The police are continuing to look into the matter, while the Reserve Bank has strengthened its combative procedures and educational workshops in response.

But what can you do to protect yourself?

Well, firstly, don't lose too much sleep over this, because with only 28 counterfeit notes detected per million genuine banknotes, in spite the surge over the past financial year the level of counterfeiting in Australia remains low by international standards.

Secondly, watch out for those fifities, because of the 37,134 counterfeit notes detected in circulation, 33,292 of them were of the yellow variety with the southern cross motif!

Green $100 banknotes accounted for most of the remainder, with 2,943 counterfeit notes detected.

Common cents

Common sense should tell you to watch out for those green notes with the lyrebird image on them, because they are more costly if you do accidentally pick up a wrong 'un!

In dollar value terms, there were nearly $2 million of counterfeit notes with around $1.7 million of those being fifty dollar notes or 84 per cent by value, and $300,000 in hundred dollar notes.

Although there were quite a few twenties that were found to be counterfeits - and even a handful of fives and tens - in dollar value terms these accounted for a total of only around $16,000 of the fakes. 

Finally, if you're a keen bridge player and you like to skew the odds in your favour, then you'll know to use lower dollar banknotes wherever possible, for the odds of them being counterfeit per million notes is proportionately much lower. 

Thus be a little vigilant with the higher dollar value notes over the next year and on balance you will have more to worry about from the legal printing of money devaluing the notes in your pocket than illegal counterfeits!