Real-time thoughts & analysis of the markets, economy & more...
Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyers & WargentAdvisory (subscription market analysis for institutional clients).
Check us out here
TO COME AND SEE ME SPEAK LIVE IN SYDNEY - see www.quadrant2.net
Pete Wargent blogspot
Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).
4 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.
"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the better property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.
"Pete Wargent is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.
"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.
"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.
"Pete's daily analysis is unputdownable" - Dr. Chris Caton, Chief Economist, BT Financial.
The April 2015 trend estimate of 95,288 units sold increased by 0.5 per cent when compared with the prior month of March 2015.
Low interest rates are slowly but surely encouraging households to get out and spend.
This was the highest ever trend April result on record, a statistic which doesn't sit comfortably with the widely held notion of stretched household budgets.
Total sales trend higher
On a trend basis the series is not quite at its highest ever level, but the record high is in the post.
On a seasonally adjusted basis there were 94,888 sales in the month, comparing very favourably with the 92,288 units shifted in the prior comparative period of April 2014.
Smoothing the figures on a rolling 12 monthly and rolling 6 monthly basis shows that sales of new motor vehicles are now heading up again and will soon surpass the rolling annual record high of 1.15 million.
SUVs dominate product sales
Unsurprisingly the month of April saw another sizeable surge in Sports Utility sales to 34,225, well ahead of the 28,501 seen in April 2014 only one year ago.
The wealth effect of appreciating dwelling prices in Sydney and Melbourne has seen new motor vehicles sweeping to their highest ever level in New South Wales (361,065) and Victoria (308,252) in rolling annual terms.
However, the end of the investment mining boom is certainly taking its toll on Western Australia and the Northern Territory where sales are declining sharply.
On a trend basis new motor vehicle sales are rising again in Queensland after a lull as mining contractors relocate back from whence they came.
Finally, a direct year-on-year comparison of sales by state shows just how dramatically Western Australia has tanked.
Tasmania, on the other hand, is enjoying a very healthy upturn in demand.
Recently announced budget measures allowing instant tax deductions for business assets priced under $20,000 could see the series romping to new record highs in the months ahead.