Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - & author of Things That Make You Go of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, MacroBusiness.

Thursday, 5 March 2015

Trade deficit widens in January

Trade deficit

The ABS released its International Trade figures for the month of January 2015, which showed that in seasonally adjusted terms the balance on goods and services missed expectations in recording a deficit of $980 million, an increase of $477 million on the revised December 2014 deficit.

Exports increased by 1 percent and imports by 3 percent.

After some dubiously strong estimates for iron ore freight on board (FOB) values in recent months, a more realistic looking result saw iron ore and coal values exported declining in the month.

On the flip side, natural gas exports continued to rise to a new record high of $1,765 million.

Exports to all key destinations were lower in the month of January, with China (excluding SARs and Taiwan) still mopping up  a massive 32 percent of our monthly merchandise exports, with Japan (19 percent), Korea (14 percent) and India (4 percent) amongst the other key trading partners.

The value of exports from Western Australia has tumbled from its heady peak in concert with iron ore prices but still accounted for a humongous 48 percent of monthly merchandise exports.

Queensland (18 percent) and New South Wales (14 percent) were the other key contributors.

The trade services balance remained a significant net deficit of $829 million in January, although tourism related trade services are now contributing a net credit of $211 million as the currency has depreciated.

Finally, although Western Australia remains the king of the monthly trade balance the net balance is down by some 25 percent from Q4 2013.

While the "banana benders" and "crow-eaters" continue to "pay their way", on the other hand "Sydneysiders" and the "Mexicans" are not*.


*this "inverted commas" stuff is seriously "contagious". I fear that my former English teacher "Mrs. Platts" would be having chronic heart "palpitations".