Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - & author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm...one of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, MacroBusiness.

Monday, 17 March 2014

Paddy's

Happy St. Patrick's Day.

What with the Cunard's QM2 in Sydney Harbour still and a sea of green T-shirts around, George Street was like a humid version of Temple Bar yesterday...at least until the thunderstorms kicked in.

Well, the Irish certainly didn't look like they needed any more reasons to celebrate, but as it turns out they do, with house prices in the Emerald Isle at last on the road to recovery.

The so-called global house price league shows Ireland at #19 with prices up by 6.4% in the 12 months to 31 December 2013.

Dubai topped the table with bust having turned back into boom and dwelling prices up by an outlandish 34.8% in the past year, although that particularly market is still down by a quarter since its pre-financial crisis peak.


Source: Knight Frank

Other notable performers include the UK at #18 (+7.0% y/y), New Zealand at #14 (+9.2%) and Australia at #13 (+9.2%). 

The USA is all the way up at #9 with prices up by more than 11% in the 12 month period.

Languishing countries include France at #44 (-1.4%), Spain at #50 (-4.0%) and Italy at #51 (-5.3%).

Prices in Greece fell by 9.3%, in recession-mired Cyprus by 7.3%, and in Croatia by 14.4%.

Although the Eurozone countries continue to prop up the table there are some indicators that in states such as France, Spain and Holland the falls are slowing and perhaps bottoming out. 

Prices were up for the year in 39 countries as at Q4 2013, as compared to only 27 in 2012, suggesting that globally low interest rates and stimulus measures are beginning to work gradually.

When prices are rising Knight Frank's table tends to be discussed in a reasonably fair nature.

Yet, rest assured when prices are falling and gains turns to blame, the way in which rising house prices are reported in the manner of weekend footie results will once again be cited as part of the root cause of the malaise.

Housing enjoys a unique status as an asset class, being the only essential item for which rising prices are cheered as something to be enjoyed by owners.